The Deer and the Hound

The deer found
her abode
in the forest
she felt
protected
and safe

Until the hound

told her
with his fangs
buried in her
flesh

You were wrong
You should have
trusted

yourself
to outrun me

and not this
flimsy
fortress
of yours

Arete

The curve
goes down

Retreat
Recalibrate
Rethink

(Arete)

How We Reconnect

Family
Second family
Spring
Summer
Fall
Family

I reconnected with
the older sister
that I never had
but had again
tonight

Spring
Summer
Fall
Family

How the years have
passed

Each thread unraveling
tying new knots
but not as strong
as those

that were the
connection formed
out of just
spending time
together

taking for granted
at times ignoring
one another
because time
there was plenty

and plenty it still was
when threads
crossed at
weddings
christenings

We were skipping over those encounters
light of feet and heart and mind and soul

Depth lost
bare threads
to be rejoined

to links that run
as deep
and still tell
of fragile brittle
matter

most

cannot be salvaged
yet
the attempt is there

The judgement is up
to see
if fall
a harvest

rich
or
poor

will come of this

The soul says
do pursue
hold open
the gate
and greet
who is
crossing its
threshold
with warmth
of past summer rays
fading into fall

Meet that person
again
in your home

before winter
falls upon us
and it is too late

for another occasion
to soak up that
summer warmth
of days that passed

Endless days

How we yearned
for night to fall
to give us rest reprieve
and stillness

Movement slowing even down
from that languid turn
in the sun that burned
our backs and charged
desires we didn’t even
know we had

Those days
Endless days
of summer

in which we took it
all for granted

My Trash

My Trash

The glorious one goes
straight to the open
bin

for everyone
to marvel
and see

The murky
embarrassing
items I sneak
out the back

And dump them
where no one
goes looking

Or so I hope

The Manual

Will you follow
Instructions
To a T

Or

Infuse them with
Your own
Creativity

(Metis)

Bayes

‘Choices’ is the second recent instance in which I bump into Bayes: Probability and Likelihood when considering choices and making decision

(The first time it was about Corona Rapid Antigen Testing and how to explain a false positive result. That was easy.)

What still trips me up is the fact that I’m not sure if I understand the theorem in full. Here is my condensed version which I apply to the decision making process as described by Annie Duke:

Probability: How likely is it that an event will occur at all?

Likeliness / Likelihood: How probable is it that the event will occur and be relevant to me and my hypotheses? How probable is it that I overlooked something relevant (to me and my hypotheses)? In a similar situation in the past, what was the outcome? What is the risk?

In thinking – as opposed to calculating – we infer probability through likeliness/likelihood. There is a need to (de)/fin(e)d the right WEPs, I guess.

Choices: Perfect vs. Optimal

We tend to look for perfect outcomes. Those don’t exist. So, how about trying to look for optimal outcomes in your decision making process? –
You’re not going to be stuck with your decision, there is always a way to tweak, or even, pivot (unless you do that too often – that’s considered ‘flaky’).

What’s important here is ‘weighting’ – not in the strictly mathematical (but still, binary) sense – in your value cloud. (And Erin did stress that – The Higher Goal.)

Which optimal outcome are you going to be able to live with ‘better’ than the above-optimal outcome that does not reflect the things you value?

At first glance, it might appear to be a ‘no-brainer’. -> “Hey, above-optimal, near-perfect outcome that I did not even ask for? Bring it to me!”

Then there is time. Over time, how satisfied with the above-optimal outcome that does not reflect your values, are you going to be? Remorse, regret? Or, just partying on?

My take is this: If the outcome of a decision is not aligned with your values, you are going to suffer in the long run. Which will make all the blessings of an initially-perceived ‘above-optimal’ become naught.

Erin did talk about that in her presentation and I think it is an utterly important point, so I’m going to repeat it: The Higher Goal.

(As Seth Godin said (not sure I quote him precisely): “When the rice & beans are covered, everything else is a narrative.”)

The Good Shepherd

I’ve been doing some soul searching —- Meaning, I was not searching my soul, but searching for soul. Which was prompted by a comment from a member of my book club who asked, after my presentation, if there would be a follow-up. So, for some future presentation, I found a book – The Heart Aroused – that explores the soul in the corporate world; and here is a quote from that book:

No language matches good poetry in its precision about the human drama.

David Whyte

Yet, I love what I perceive to be poetry’s ambiguity. So, I let my soul speak poetry to my business, a pharmacy, but I guess it could be any business. –
It’s called:

The Good Shepherd

I long for the green pastures
and so do my sheep
I have to gather them
and bring them
along, with my staff
and also,
the wolf

While this isn’t grand poetry, it might serve as a departure point for the prose of a purpose / mission / vision statement.

Where did this come from?

The mind is at rest
The soul takes a breath